I read this article in the Daily Express. The paper claims ISIS drones are being used to plot a chemical drone blitz. It’d be capable of hitting any city in Europe. I know the Express are known for massively exaggerating things. They go extreme with everything.
This is a typical, not too expensive drone that ISIS could be using.
Should we be worried about an ISIS chemical drone blitz in Europe? I say no. I do know that they now use drones to enhance their fighting capabilities.
How Are ISIS Using Drones?
ISIS started using drones to conduct surveillance operations. Their main threat was vehicle based improvised explosive devices (VBIEDs). Suicide bombers drive right towards their target in a reinforced vehicle and detonate it when they’re sitting on your lap.
Many are stopped before they get that close. Be that by rockets, mines or other means. ISIS are using the drones to film their VBIEDs in action. They survey the success of them and conduct the initial intelligence before the attacks take place and to get an informed picture of the battlefield. The drones are ISIS’ satellites.
Here is a video showing ISIS drone footage of two VBIED attacks against ISF outposts in Northern Iraq and another attack against an Iraqi convoy.
ISIS have now progressed from this tactic. Daesh have now started using them to conduct attacks rather than surveillance. They started to use them to drop grenades directly on to their enemy. In cities such as Aleppo and Mosul, spotting a drone before it’s above your position can be difficult.
Drones Are Hard to Spot in Built Up Areas
By the time you spot an ISIS drone it can be already releasing the grenade right on to your face. Unpleasant. Now we need to keep an eye out in the skies as well as the ground. Even though their attacking strength in the sky is a Flintstones version of what we can put up there.
They can use them to distract ground forces before attacking on the ground with a VBIED or similar. Check this video to see how many troops an ISIS drone can occupy when it’s approaching a position.
Peshmerga forces won this round but it’s not hard for ISIS to deploy these drones. They aren’t expensive.
So now the Express are saying they are planning a drone blitz attacking cities in Europe with chemical weapons. They say…
According to recent research by IHS Conflict Monitor, an English research centre specialising in military intelligence, parts of these products have already been used on the Syrian and Iraqi front lines in at least 52 attacks since 2014 in which ISIS fighters have used bombs made from chlorine and mustard gas.
I do think if they had a decent supply of chemical weapons we would be seeing increased numbers of attacks. All with a more lethal outcome. With a large amount they could cause an untold number of casualties and fuck me, think of the damage they could cause if they did manage to get it to a European city to use.
Will These Drone Attacks Reach Europe?
Thankfully our intelligence and defence forces, although not perfect, are very good and it’s a big ask to be able to smuggle chemical weapons through even one country let alone many.
The Express also says…
One security officer said: “Drones are handcrafted using polystyrene and very cheap Chinese components while chlorine and mustard gas can easily be smuggled to Europe through Turkey.”
I have to disagree with this statement. If it was that easy they would have done it. Or it is actually that easy but they just don’t have them in large enough quantities to warrant smuggling some away. They may need their whole supply for fighting in Syria and Iraq.
I think we are a long way off them having the capabilities to conduct a drone blitz with chemical weapons in a European city. If we start to see an increase in damage inflicted from larger amounts of chemical weapons in Syria and Iraq then we can be safe to assume they’re progressing it.
If they did have the capabilities then just look at the options they could have with a drone. A clear view of built up areas to attack.
Daesh are losing ground in most areas so I think they’ll be more focused on trying to keep some as a stronghold rather than building drones in force. They’ve recently started conducting more lone wolf attacks in other countries (Turkey mainly). The idiots are getting weaker in their former safe havens. It’s the only thing ISIS can do as they lose their fight.